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Analysis

Deadly strike on Hamas deputy leader is a major escalation - Hezbollah may be unable to turn a blind eye

On the face of it, this is an attack on Hamas, not Hezbollah, but it was in the capital Beirut and has eliminated a figure said to be very close to Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah.

Palestinians take part in a protest against the killing of Saleh al Arouri in Ramallah in the Israeli-occupied West Bank
Image: Palestinians take part in a protest against the killing of Saleh al Arouri in Ramallah in the Israeli-occupied West Bank
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An Israeli drone strike, in Hezbollah-controlled southern Beirut, is a potentially major escalation.

, a senior Hamas commander in Lebanon and de-facto leader of the group in the West Bank.

As has decreased notably in recent weeks, the Israel-Lebanon border has grown in tension, with regular daily exchanges of artillery and missile strikes.

Israel-Gaza latest: Hamas blames 'assassination' on Israel

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Senior Hamas official killed in explosion

It's likely Israel won't formally admit to this assassination, but the government has made it clear they will go after Hamas leaders wherever they are in the world.

This would seem to be evidence that they are keeping that vow.

Hezbollah, who thus far have seemed unwilling to enter a full-scale war with Israel - instead limiting fighting to the border areas - will need to decide how to respond.

With Israeli border villages evacuated, a US aircraft carrier close by, and hundreds of thousands of Israeli reservists already called up, some in Israel have called for the military to take this opportunity to push back Hezbollah once and for all.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has so far resisted.

Read more:
Thousands of Israeli soldiers moved out of Gaza
UN agency hits out at claims aid convoy was hit by Israeli gunfire

The aftermath of the blast at the building where al Arouri was killed. Pic: AP
Image: The aftermath of the blast at the building where al Arouri was killed. Pic: AP

On the face of it, this is an attack on Hamas, not Hezbollah, but it was in the capital Beirut and has eliminated a figure said to be very close to Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah - they have reportedly met on a number of occasions since 7 October.

Nasrallah, who was already due to speak publicly on Wednesday, surely cannot turn a blind eye to this attack.