Profits up at Lloyds - as it warns house prices to keep falling until 2025
Around 拢500m was deposited from July to September, Lloyds Q3 results said, as people increased savings. But the bank had a warning on house prices.
Wednesday 25 October 2023 15:40, UK
The UK's biggest mortgage lender has reported a rise in profits amid high interest rates - while also warning house prices are likely to continue tumbling until 2025.
Lloyds Banking Group, which owns Halifax and Bank of Scotland, reported pre-tax profits of £5.728bn for the nine months ending in September.
Higher base interest rates set by the Bank of England have yielded £13.7bn in income, a 7% increase from a year earlier.
But Lloyds also warned that house prices are likely to keep falling until at least 2025.
Its forecasts say prices will drop by 4.7% this year and then by another 2.4% in 2024.
The lender predicted growth would bounce back in the housing market by 2.3% in 2025, according to estimates based on Halifax's House Price Index.
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It came as the group unveiled its results for the third quarter of 2023 on Wednesday.
The percentage that banks profit from loans and savings, a key measure of lending profitability called net interest margin, rose to 3.15% from 2.84% in the same three quarters in 2022.
The difference between the interest lenders receive from loans and the rate they pay depositors is captured by net interest margin.
But the high of the nine months to September was not consistent - in the final three months that margin dropped to 3.08%.
During that time, the amount being deposited increased by £500m as people saved more.
It followed the UK central bank, the Bank of England, having hiked its base rate to 5.25% in an effort to encourage saving and make borrowing more costly to reduce the rate of inflation.
Savings rates and mortgage rates have gone up accordingly.
The latest figures from financial information company, Moneyfacts, said the average two-year fixed residential mortgage rate is 6.34% with the average five-year deal at 5.89%.
Money put aside for loans that creditors potentially can't repay totalled £187m in the third quarter of the year, far less than the £419m allotted in the second quarter.
At the same time, credit conditions were said to be "broadly stable" - with assets described as "resilient".
Lloyds reaffirmed its guidance for the full 2023 financial year, saying net interest margin is forecast to be more than 3.1%.
Lloyds chief executive, Charlie Nunn, described the results as a "robust financial performance".
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Another high street mortgage lender, Santander, also released its financial results on Wednesday.
An increase in some borrowers being in arrears was reported, while overall arrears are still at low levels, in its Q3 results.
There was, however, a slight uptick in mortgages, unsecured personal loans, and overdrafts arrears.
Mortgage applications were also down, leading Santander to anticipate house prices will fall by 7% in 2023 and 2% next year.