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Analysis

Putin prepares to host dozens of world leaders for Victory Day parade in major PR coup for Moscow

Ukraine has already begun trying to humiliate Vladimir Putin as heads of state arrive in Moscow - but an attack by Kyiv during the celebrations in Russia is highly unlikely.

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Why has Russia declared three-day ceasefire in Ukraine?
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It's hard not to view the motivating factor behind Vladimir Putin's latest unilateral ceasefire in Ukraine as one of timing.

Starting today, the three-day truce coincides with Russia's lavish celebrations to mark the 80th anniversary of victory over Nazi Germany.

The main event will be a huge military Victory Day parade on Red Square on Friday, where the Russian president will be welcoming more than two dozen world leaders, including China's Xi Jinping.

Members of the delegations, led by Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping, attend a welcoming ceremony before their talks at the Kremlin in Moscow, Russia, May 8, 2025. REUTERS/Evgenia Novozhenina/Pool
Image: Members of the delegations, led by Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping, attend a welcoming ceremony in Moscow. Pic: Reuters

Ukrainian president Volodymyr ZelenAG百家乐在线官网y has dismissed the ceasefire proposal as theatre, and a cynical ploy by Mr Putin to protect his parade, rather than human lives.

Ukraine claims Russia has breached the ceasefire, launching guided bombs on the Sumy region on three occasions, but it is unlikely there will be any retaliation at the moment.

It's certainly true that the Kremlin wants to put on a good show - not just for its guests but for the rest of the world.

The arrival of so many heads of state, including the leaders of Brazil, Egypt and Vietnam - is a major PR coup for Moscow, and a chance to show the West that its efforts to isolate Russia have failed.

More on Vladimir Putin

Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, left, with Vladimir Putin in Moscow ahead of the Victory Day parade. Pic: AP


Russian President Vladimir Putin, right, and Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro react after a signing ceremony following their talks at the Kremlin in Moscow, Russia, Wednesday, May 7, 2025, ahead of celebrations of the 80th anniversary of the Soviet Union's victory over Nazi Germany during the World War II. (AP Photo/Alexander Zemlianichenko)
Image: Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, left, with Vladimir Putin in Moscow ahead of the Victory Day parade. Pic: AP
Chinese President Xi Jinping arrives in Moscow ahead of Victory Day celebrations. Pic: Reuters
Image: Chinese President Xi Jinping arrives in Moscow ahead of Victory Day celebrations. Pic: Reuters
Brazilian President Lula da Silva arrives in Moscow ahead of Victory Day celebrations. Pic: Reuters
Image: Brazilian President Lula da Silva arrives in Moscow ahead of Victory Day celebrations. Pic: Reuters

Announcing the guestlist earlier this week, Kremlin aide Yuri Ushakov claimed it was "an indicator of Russia's growing authority in the world".

With that in mind, a Ukrainian attack on the parade would be seriously embarrassing for Mr Putin.

In theory it could happen - Kyiv hasn't committed to the ceasefire, instead calling for a 30-day pause, and has said it can't guarantee the safety of foreign dignitaries who are visiting Russia - but I think it's highly unlikely.

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Russian infantry vehicles during preparations for the Victory Day parade. Pic: Reuters
Image: Russian infantry vehicles during preparations for the Victory Day parade. Pic: Reuters

It would risk damaging relations with Donald Trump, whose stance regarding peace talks appears to have shifted recently in Kyiv's favour.

But Ukraine is still doing its best to disrupt the preparations here. Multiple drone attacks over the past few days have forced Moscow's airports to repeatedly suspend operations, just as foreign leaders have been flying in.

Serbia's president Aleksandar Vucic reportedly took 10 hours to reach Moscow after his flight had to stopover in Azerbaijan. While more drones targeted Moscow just before Mr Xi touched down on Wednesday afternoon.

It's an attempt by Ukraine to humiliate Mr Putin, and to convey to his guests how much it disapproves of their visit, which it regards as a show of support for Russia's invasion.