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UK weather: Amber heat health alert issued across England - with 'rise in deaths likely'

The UKHSA alert warns there could be "a rise in deaths" among people with pre-existing health conditions and those aged over 65.

People ride bikes in Hyde Park.
Pic: PA
Image: People ride bikes in Hyde Park. Pic: PA
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An amber heat health alert has been issued across England, as temperatures are expected to reach above 30C today.

According to the Met Office's latest forecasts, much of the south of England will see temperatures between 31C (87.8F) and 32C by Thursday afternoon, with temperatures above 20C across almost all of the UK.

It would make for the hottest day of the year so far, beating the 29.4C (85F) recorded last Friday in Suffolk and coming after record-breaking spring heat.

By this weekend, temperatures are forecast to hit highs of 33C (91F).

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The UK Health Security Agency's (UKHSA) latest heat health warnings for England include all regions, and are in effect from midday on Thursday to 9am on Monday.

The amber alert indicates that "significant impacts are likely" across health and social care services, and warns there could be "a rise in deaths" among people with pre-existing health conditions and those aged over 65.

More on Extreme Weather

Read more: What is a heat health alert and when is one issued?

A screengrab from the UKHSA showing amber heat alerts in effect for all regions of England from 19 June to 23 June. Pic: UKHSA
Image: Pic: UKHSA

A heatwave is officially declared when temperatures exceed a certain level for three days in a row. Thresholds vary from 25C to 28C (77F to 82F) across the UK.

According to the Met Office, it will get progressively warmer as the week progresses - with the heat peaking on Sunday.

Deputy chief meteorologist Dan Holley said thundery showers may be possible heading into Saturday morning, with "tropical nights" a possibility as parts of the UK approach heatwave territory.

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It comes after the Met Office said this week that there is a 50:50 chance of temperatures reaching up to 40C or more again in the next 12 years.

Temperatures first hit 40C in the UK during a record-breaking heatwave in 2022, peaking at 40.3C in Coningsby in Lincolnshire on 19 July. The previous top temperature was 38.7C in Cambridge, recorded in 2019.

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The extreme heat caused dozens of fires, which ripped through houses, schools, churches and farmland, with fire brigades in London, Leicestershire and South Yorkshire declaring major incidents at the time.

More than 3,000 heat-related deaths were recorded in England over summer 2022, including more than 1,000 excess deaths among older people around the four-day peak of the heatwave.